Managing Real Money Is Not Easy

Bitcoin Price Testing the 21 EMA

This marks the third week managing my Bitcoin investment portfolio. It's been an exciting ride so far, though not without its challenges.

Trading is new to me. As a longtime bitcoin bull, my instinct is to go pedal to the metal with an aggressive Bitcoin buying strategy. My inner maximalist wants to go all-in on every BTC dip. But, I'm starting to better understand the merits of balancing a bullish bias with smart risk management. However, the more experienced members of my team have helped temper those bullish impulses. I'm learning to take a more nuanced approach based more on facts vs feelings.

-RO

Technical Analysis

Weekly View

Horizontal Levels

This week, Bitcoin rebounded from the horizontal level at 24.8K after a period of low volatility.

21 Weekly Exponential Moving Average

Bitcoin faces a critical test at the 21-week exponential moving average (EMA). Last week, we highlighted the importance of this level, as bitcoin broke below the 21 EMA for the first time this year. Over the next few weeks, watch how bitcoin's price reacts here. This will signal whether the bear market continues, or a bull trend begins.

Daily View

Fibonacci Retracement

Bitcoin is testing the 0.382 FIB retracement level of the latest downward move. This could become an important level of resistance to the current upward price action.

Trend Line

Bitcoin is also testing the downward trend line. A break above this area would open the door for further gains, while rejection could lead to retesting recent lows.

Market Statistics

Bitcoin Market Cap

528.7B

+ 5.67%

Bitcoin Dominance

49.2%

+ 0.82%

Disclaimer: The information provided in this newsletter is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be construed as financial advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.

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